Empowering global ethereum price prediction with EtherVoyant: A state-of-the-art time series forecasting model

Data

2024-08-27

Embargo

Orientador

Coorientador

Título da revista

ISSN da revista

Título do volume

Editora

Springer
Idioma
Inglês

Projetos de investigação

Unidades organizacionais

Fascículo

Título Alternativo

Resumo

Ethereum has emerged as a major platform for decentralized apps and smart contracts with the heightened interest in cryptocurrencies in recent years. Investors and market participants in the cryptocurrency space will find it increasingly important to use reliable price prediction models as Ethereum's popularity grows. To better estimate Ethereum prices around the world, we propose "EtherVoyant," a novel hybrid forecasting model that combines the advantages of ARIMA and SARIMA methods. To improve its forecasting abilities, EtherVoyant uses Ethereum price history to train ARIMA and SARIMA components independently before fusing their predictions. With the help of feature engineering and data preparation, we further improve the model so that it can deal with real-world difficulties like missing values and seasonality in the data. We also investigate hyperparameter optimization for the model's best possible performance. We compare EtherVoyant's forecasts against those of the more conventional ARIMA and SARIMA models to determine its efficacy. By providing more precise and trustworthy price forecasts, our trial results suggest that EtherVoyant is superior to the individual models. The importance of this study resides in the fact that it will lead to the creation of a sophisticated time series forecasting model that will be useful to cryptocurrency investors, traders, and decision-makers. We hope that by making EtherVoyant available on a worldwide scale, we will help advance the field of cryptocurrency analytics and encourage wider adoption of blockchain-based assets.

Palavras-chave

ARIMA, SARIMA, Ethereum, EtherVoyant, ML, DL

Tipo de Documento

Artigo

Citação

Islam, U., Shah, B., Al-Atawi, A. A., Arnone, G., Abonazel, M. R., Ali, I., & Moreira, F. (2024). Empowering global ethereum price prediction with EtherVoyant: A state-of-the-art time series forecasting model. Neural Computing and Applications, (published online: 27 August 2024), 1-24. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00521-024-10169-3. Repositório Institucional UPT. https://hdl.handle.net/11328/5976

Identificadores

TID

Designação

Tipo de Acesso

Acesso Restrito

Apoio

Descrição